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When is a bailout not a bailout?

talessi@ariesfoundation.org

If it walks like a duck then it's probably a bailout...

When is a bailout not a bailout?

Let’s start in Silicon Valley with the biggest bank failure since the 2009 financial crisis. Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) was among the go-to banks for start-ups and biotech companies. It’s growth in recent years was fueled by the cheap money that had been available and started to feel some constraints as the Fed continued to hikes rates to fight persistent inflation.

While Fed officials may have seen some joy knowing the tech industry was feeling some pain, they certainly weren’t hoping to help tip a bank with over $200 billion in assets into insolvency. Make no mistake as this certainly was not all the result of the Fed.

Nearly all of the depositors of the now defunct bank held assets over the insured FDIC limit of $250,000 in their accounts. That insurance was created to end the parade of bank runs that dominated the Depression era.

Now we are being told that the Biden Administration will guarantee all of those deposits. But it’s not bailout?

We feel the Biden administration is being a little disingenuous skirting around using the word “bailout” to describe what’s happening. The President wants Americans to know that the situation is under control — while also insisting on the fairness of the process, both for depositors and for others in the real economy who remember the bank bailouts of 2008. In 2008, the government moved specifically to keep banks from failing, and propped them up with Treasury loans. The Biden administration has been saying that since they’re still planning on firing the heads of SVB, letting investors suffer losses, and not using taxpayer funds, it’s not a “bailout.”

The PLAY: Banks, not just SVB, made some ill-advised bets (and make no mistake, because that is what they were) on purchasing long US Treasuries when interest rates were non-existent. In 2022 when The FED decided to rapidly raise interest rates those long-term holdings took massive hits (the longer the holding period on a bond the more they are inversely affected by rate increases) and a lot of banks, again not just SVB, now find themselves holding huge amounts of government debt that is under water. In order to raise capital the banks need to sell these positions at a loss.

If this happened to you or us, we wouldn’t be made whole by the government…so why does Mark Cuban get a break?

The SPIN: It’s a bank fund that’s aiding SVB and not taxpayer funds. It’s a loan. The government has offered Banks, not just SVB, an option to take a loan and The FED will buy back those under-water treasury notes from the bank, so they will have more liquidity.

But who put the money into the account to create this bank fund in the first place? Kind of feels like that was every US taxpayer. And if they are using my money to prop-up a failed institution, or even the clients of that failed institution, while they may not be going about it in the same manner as they did in 2008…what’s the old adage; “if it walks like duck…”

The ironic twist in this tale is that the CEO of SVB had lobbied for less scrutiny for he and his fellow smaller banks. That they weren’t taking risks like the big banks were in 2008 and so didn’t need the same regulations and stress-test requirements as those banks. Which of course has all those big banks now sitting back & feeling fine, because of the tightened regs, while some regional banks are lining up to grab the bailout, err we mean bank loan offer.

By Thomas Alessi January 5, 2025
Have you ever noticed how New Year's resolutions seem to lose their sparkle by the second or third week of January? If so, you’re not alone. Statistics show that most people abandon their resolutions within a few weeks of setting them. But why does this happen? The reasons often lie in how we approach our goals and the mindset we carry into the new year. One of the biggest culprits is setting unrealistic goals. Many of us feel a surge of motivation on January 1st and decide to aim for major life changes all at once—like losing 30 pounds in a month or working out every single day without fail. While ambition is admirable, these types of goals are often unattainable in such a short period, leading to frustration and eventual burnout. Another common issue is the lack of a clear plan. Resolutions often start as vague statements like “I want to get fit” or “I’ll save money this year.” Without actionable steps or measurable milestones, it’s easy to lose track of progress or get overwhelmed by the enormity of the goal. Without structure, even the best intentions can falter. Motivation fades quickly after the excitement of the new year dies down. Motivation is often fueled by novelty, but real change requires discipline and consistency—two traits that are harder to maintain over time. By mid-January, the initial enthusiasm often gives way to old habits, especially if we don’t have systems in place to reinforce new ones. Social and environmental pressures also play a role. Life gets busy, and as the demands of work, school, or family creep back in after the holiday lull, resolutions take a backseat. Pair this with temptations like junk food or the comfort of skipping the gym, and it’s no surprise that many people give up. Finally, many people don’t account for setbacks. Whether it’s missing a workout, overspending on a shopping trip, or indulging in an unhealthy meal, one slip-up can feel like a failure. This "all-or-nothing" mindset often leads to abandoning the resolution entirely instead of adjusting the plan. ________________________________________ Strategies to Overcome Quitters Day Breaking the cycle of quitting isn’t just possible—it’s entirely within your reach with the right mindset and strategies. Let’s dive into how you can overcome the challenges of Quitters Day and stick to your resolutions long-term. 1. Set Realistic and Measurable Goals The key to success lies in creating goals that are specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound (SMART). For example, instead of saying, “I’ll get fit this year,” try “I’ll exercise for 30 minutes three times a week.” By breaking big aspirations into smaller, manageable steps, you’re less likely to feel overwhelmed and more likely to stay on track. 2. Build Consistent Habits, Not Just Motivation Motivation is fleeting, but habits are sustainable. Focus on creating daily or weekly routines that make progress automatic. For instance, if you want to eat healthier, prep your meals in advance or stock your kitchen with nutritious options. Building habits takes time, but once established, they become second nature. 3. Accountability and Support Systems Having someone to hold you accountable can make all the difference. Share your goals with a trusted friend, family member, or even a coach. Better yet, join a community or group with similar objectives. Knowing that someone is rooting for you—or counting on you—can keep you motivated during tough moments. 4. Reframe Setbacks as Learning Opportunities Setbacks are inevitable, but they don’t have to derail your progress. Instead of viewing a missed workout or a bad day as failure, see it as a chance to learn. What triggered the setback? How can you adjust your approach to prevent it in the future? Remember, growth isn’t linear—it’s a journey filled with ups and downs. 5. Celebrate Small Wins Big goals take time, so it’s important to recognize and celebrate progress along the way. Did you stick to your exercise routine for two weeks? Treat yourself to something meaningful, like new workout gear. Celebrating small milestones helps reinforce positive behavior and keeps you motivated for the long haul. 6. Focus on the Process, Not Just the Outcome Instead of fixating on the end goal, shift your mindset to enjoy the journey. For example, if your goal is to write a book, celebrate the act of writing every day rather than stressing about completing the manuscript. When you focus on the process, progress feels more achievable, and the outcome will naturally follow. 7. Leverage Technology and Tools Apps and tools can help you stay organized and motivated. Habit trackers, fitness apps, and budgeting tools make it easier to monitor progress and stay accountable. Life happens, and sometimes your resolutions need to evolve. Check in with yourself weekly or monthly to assess progress. Are your goals still realistic? Do you need to adjust your timeline or strategy? Being flexible ensures that your resolutions remain relevant and achievable. ________________________________________ With these strategies, you can break free from the Quitters Day trap and turn your resolutions into lasting change. The key is to approach your goals with patience, self-compassion, and a focus on progress rather than perfection. Change doesn’t happen overnight, but with consistent effort, you’ll be surprised at what you can accomplish.
By Thomas Alessi December 9, 2024
Budgeting and dieting are two of the most common self-improvement goals people set for themselves. Both aim to bring about positive changes—whether it's financial stability or better health. However, many find that sticking to a budget is just as challenging as sticking to a diet. Here’s why: 1. Restrictive Nature Both budgeting and dieting often start with a restrictive mindset. Just as a diet might cut out all your favorite foods, a budget might eliminate all your discretionary spending. This restriction can lead to feelings of deprivation, making it harder to stick to the plan. Over time, the temptation to "cheat" becomes stronger, whether it's indulging in a dessert or splurging on an unplanned purchase. 2. Unrealistic Expectations Many people set themselves up for failure by setting unrealistic goals. In dieting, this might mean expecting to lose a significant amount of weight in a short period. In budgeting, it could mean expecting to save a large portion of income without considering necessary expenses. When these high expectations aren't met, it can lead to discouragement and abandonment of the plan altogether. 3. Lack of Flexibility Life is unpredictable, and both diets and budgets need to be flexible to accommodate unexpected changes. A rigid diet plan doesn't account for social events or cravings, just as a strict budget doesn't account for emergencies or spontaneous opportunities. Flexibility is key to maintaining long-term success in both areas. 4. Emotional Factors Emotions play a significant role in both eating and spending habits. Stress, boredom, and happiness can all trigger overeating or overspending. Without addressing the underlying emotional triggers, it's challenging to maintain a diet or budget. Emotional awareness and coping strategies are essential for long-term success. 5. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Mindset Both dieting and budgeting often focus on short-term results rather than long-term sustainability. Crash diets and extreme budgeting can lead to quick results, but they are rarely sustainable. A more balanced approach that focuses on gradual, consistent changes is more likely to lead to lasting success. 6. Lack of Support Having a support system can make a significant difference in achieving goals. Just as people might join a weight loss group or hire a personal trainer, having a financial advisor or joining a budgeting community can provide the encouragement and accountability needed to stay on track. Making It Work To make both budgeting and dieting work, consider the following tips: • Set Realistic Goals: Aim for gradual progress rather than drastic changes. • Allow Flexibility: Build in some room for treats and unexpected expenses. • Address Emotional Triggers: Be mindful of how emotions affect your habits and develop healthy coping mechanisms. • Seek Support: Surround yourself with people who encourage and support your goals. • Focus on Long-Term Changes: Develop habits that you can maintain for life, rather than quick fixes. By understanding the similarities between budgeting and dieting, you can approach both with a more balanced and sustainable mindset. Remember, it's about progress, not perfection. Watch our Think With A Drink episode for ways to be better at handling your expenses: The Dreaded B Word
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